Estimating Time-Varying Beta of Price Limits and Its Applications in China Stock Market

نویسندگان

  • Rongquan Bai
  • Zuoquan Zhang
  • Menggang Li
چکیده

This paper proposes an estimation method of time-varying beta of price limits. It uses China stock market trading data to estimate time-varying beta and researches on systemic risk in China stock market. By comparing prediction errors of market model, SS market model, and Censored-SS market model, it verifies the effectiveness of Censored-SS market model. Furthermore it has some meaningful conclusions in China stock market.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Time-Varying Modeling of Systematic Risk: using High-Frequency Characterization of Tehran Stock Exchange

We decompose time-varying beta for stock into beta for continuous systematic risk and beta for discontinuous systematic risk. Brownian motion is assumed as nature of price movements in our modeling. Our empirical research is based on high-frequency data for stocks from Tehran Stock Exchange. Our market portfolio experiences 136 days out of 243 trading days with jumps which is a considerable rat...

متن کامل

Estimating Stock Price in Energy Market Including Oil, Gas, and Coal: The Comparison of Linear and Non-Linear Two-State Markov Regime Switching Models

A common method to study the dynamic behavior of macroeconomic variables is using linear time series models; however, they are unable to explain nonlinear behavior of the series. Given the dependency between stock market and derivatives, the behavior of the underlying asset price can be modeled using Markov switching process properties and the economic regime significance. In this paper, a two-...

متن کامل

Predicting stock prices on the Tehran Stock Exchange by a new hybridization of Fuzzy Inference System and Fuzzy Imperialist Competitive Algorithm

Investing on the stock exchange, as one of the financial resources, has always been a favorite among many investors. Today, one of the areas, where the prediction is its particular importance issue, is financial area, especially stock exchanges. The main objective of the markets is the future trend prices prediction in order to adopt a suitable strategy for buying or selling. In general, an inv...

متن کامل

Optimal Investment Horizon Tehran Price Index (Tepix) and Its Comparison with Indices of Automotive, Sugar, Pharmaceutical, Financial and Banking Industries

In the analysis of the stock market and its market indices, instead of estimating returns and their distributions at a given time interval, it is possible to extract optimal time to achieve a certain return. In this study, the distribution of investment horizons and optimal investment horizons through inverse gamma statistics method for the indices of automobile, sugar, pharmaceutical, financia...

متن کامل

The Impact of China’s Investment on Malaysia

China has been moving out from its country into other countries in the world, including Malaysia, with some positive and negative news. We are to examine the impact of China’s investment on our employment, price level and productivity as well as sectoral stock market performances: consumer products and services; construction and industrial sectors. The causality analyses on quarterly data from ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • J. Applied Mathematics

دوره 2013  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013